Probabilistic models for IMU
Parent: IMU index Source: [MKok 2017 Using inertial sensors for position and orientation estimation](mkok 2017 using inertial sensors-for-position-and-orientation-estimation.md)
Three main components to the probabilistic models
- IMU measurement model
(infer knowledge about pose from measurements)

- Prediction model (how sensor pose changes over time)
- Models of the initial pose (prior)
Knowledge we are interested in: pose of the sensor
- time-varying variables: states

- constants: parameters

Knowledge available to us: sensor dynamics, available sensor measurements 
Conditional probability distribution
Smoothing problem (uses all measurements)

Filtering problem (only up to t-th measurement)
Parameters are treated as slowly time-varying —> incorporated into state vector xVariations: fixed-lag smoothing, MHE
Assumption: our models have the Markov property
The complexity of pose estimation can be mainly attributed to
- the nonlinear nature of orientation —> linearise the orientations
- the different available ways of parametrising orientation
Resulting probabilistic models
Pose estimation

Initial conditions

Orientation at t=1 from QUEST algo

Orientation estimation
